Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.305334 0.411747 0.529510 0.667208 0.821757 0.988110 1.179054
2025-04-13 0.176461 0.316361 0.491039 0.713562 0.980195 1.281990 1.642778
2025-04-20 0.115912 0.266481 0.473000 0.751483 1.098382 1.501985 1.994680
2025-04-27 0.078304 0.234163 0.467877 0.798358 1.222570 1.726182 2.350116
2025-05-04 0.059669 0.223716 0.487344 0.872684 1.377184 1.983829 2.742311
2025-05-11 0.040014 0.202679 0.486583 0.916700 1.491396 2.191353 3.074378
2025-05-18 0.021120 0.171322 0.463989 0.926589 1.558947 2.339921 3.334597
2025-05-25 0.004480 0.122060 0.401948 0.873741 1.539760 2.377979 3.459136
2025-06-01 NaN 0.081153 0.342447 0.816865 1.509711 2.398418 3.558955
2025-06-08 NaN 0.057518 0.308118 0.793436 1.521575 2.469170 3.718029
2025-06-15 NaN 0.047433 0.300268 0.810631 1.588866 2.610250 3.963478
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033952 0.278636 0.802498 1.618829 2.702076 4.147032
2025-06-29 NaN 0.020369 0.250014 0.782301 1.634408 2.780204 4.320889
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017950 0.256786 0.825403 1.743479 2.983054 4.653930
2025-07-13 NaN 0.015892 0.263740 0.868351 1.851930 3.184713 4.985058
2025-07-20 NaN 0.014864 0.274461 0.918303 1.970964 3.400730 5.334780
2025-07-27 NaN 0.017337 0.301120 0.998364 2.135111 3.677028 5.761141
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016002 0.310286 1.045529 2.250262 3.888260 6.105330
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011233 0.300502 1.056139 2.310399 4.026005 6.356324
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003324 0.257813 0.999462 2.266995 4.023800 6.428407
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000097 0.216102 0.938345 2.213247 4.005249 6.477685
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.193443 0.913128 2.212863 4.057364 6.615908
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.190898 0.931638 2.281341 4.203769 6.875814